International Friendly

Nov 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Sweden
2 - 0
Algeria

Forsberg (45+3' pen.), Claesson (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Sweden and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Algeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Mali
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Algeria
41.07% ( 0.07)	26.99% ( -0.01)	31.94% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

0.03)

54.95% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

0.02)

76.23% (

-0.02)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.05)

26.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.06)

61.47% (

-0.06)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.03)

31.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

-0.03)

68.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sweden 41.07%

Algeria 31.94%

Draw 26.99%

Sweden	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.07%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.94%