Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 10' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 40' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 54' goal
  • Leo Skiri Oestigaard 56' yellowcard
  • Sander Berge 64' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 77' goal
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 8'
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 56'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Gudmundsson 78'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 90'+5'

Norway vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
Norway 0 - 0 Slovenia

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
Sweden 0 - 1 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result

Norway 47.86% (-0.07)
Draw 22.92% (+0.01)
Sweden 29.22% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.45% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.67%
Under 2.5 38.33% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 39.38% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.61% (+0.01)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 83.65% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 16.35% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 54.05% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 45.95% (+0.05)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 74.66% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.34% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.87% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.13% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Norway 47.86%
Draw 22.91%
Sweden 29.22%
Norway
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 47.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.91%
Sweden
1-2 @ 7.07% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.22%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emil Krafth 18' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 34' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 45' yellowcard
  • Dejan Kulusevski 90' yellowcard
  • Robin Olsen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 90'+2' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 20'
  • yellowcard Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 42'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 69'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 8, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 60' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 66' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Larsson 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Markus Henriksen 44'
  • goal Stefan Johansen 45'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 26, 2019 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ole Selnaes 28' yellowcard
  • Bjorn Johnsen 41' goal
  • Havard Nordtveit 53' yellowcard
  • Joshua King 59' goal
  • Bjorn Johnsen 63' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Ajer 69' yellowcard
  • Ola Kamara 96' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Olsson 29'
  • yellowcard Viktor Claesson 55'
  • goal Viktor Claesson 70'
  • yellowcard Filip Helander 73'
  • goal Havard Nordtveit 86' (OG)
  • goal Robin Quaison 91'
International Friendlies
Jun 13, 2017 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonas Svensson 11' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 44' goal
  • Anders Trondsen 72' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Armenteros 81'
International Friendlies
Aug 14, 2013 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 1' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 28' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 57' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 75' goal
  • goal Mohammed Abdellaoue 38'
  • goal Stefan Johnansen 43'