World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Finals

Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
2 - 0
Sweden

Lewandowski (49' pen.), Zielinski (72')
Goralski (38'), Moder (52'), Lewandowski (77'), Bielik (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Isak (81'), Kulusevski (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Sweden

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden 1-2 Norway
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Sweden vs. Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Sweden
45.34%	23.14%	31.53%

Both teams to score 63.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61%

60.39%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49%

47.51%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01%

57.99%

Score Analysis

Poland 45.34%

Sweden 31.53%

Draw 23.13%

Poland	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.12% Total : 45.34%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.53%