/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
-
Jacek Goralski
38'
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Robert Lewandowski
49'
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Jakub Moder
52'
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Piotr Zielinski
72'
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Robert Lewandowski
77'
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Krystian Bielik
81'
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Alexander Isak
81'
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Dejan Kulusevski
90'+2'
Poland vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result
Poland
45.34%
Draw
23.14%
Sweden
31.53%
Both Teams to Score:
63.06%
Goals
Over 2.5
61.88%
Under 2.5
38.12%
Over 3.5
39.61%
Under 3.5
60.39%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
82.78%
Under 0.5
17.22%
Over 1.5
52.49%
Under 1.5
47.51%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
76.18%
Under 0.5
23.82%
Over 1.5
42.01%
Under 1.5
57.99%
Score analysis
Poland
45.34%
Draw
23.13%
Sweden
31.53%
Poland
2-1
@
9.1%
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 45.34%
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.35%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.13%
Sweden
1-2
@
7.43%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.53%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.53%