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World Cup

Poland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
San Marino national football team

Poland
5 - 0
San Marino

Swiderski (10'), Brolli (20' og.), Kedziora (50'), Buksa (84'), Piatek (90+1')
Linetty (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Golinucci (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.77%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawSan Marino
67.04%21.98%10.99%
Both teams to score 35.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09%58.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6%79.4%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01%16.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89%47.11%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.51%57.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.69%89.31%
Score Analysis
    Poland 67.03%
    San Marino 10.99%
    Draw 21.98%
PolandDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 17.31%
2-0 @ 15.34%
3-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.02%
4-0 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 1.42%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.03%
0-0 @ 9.77%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.41%
1-2 @ 2.65%
0-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Poland vs San Marino

Poland
80.0%
Draw
11.4%
San Marino
8.6%
70