UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Serbia
4 - 1
Sweden

Mitrovic (18', 45+1', 50'), Lukic (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Claesson (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Sweden

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Sweden
54.15% ( 0.07)	23.85% ( -0.08)	21.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.36)

48.87% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

0.33)

70.96% (

-0.33)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

0.16)

17.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

0.28)

48.78% (

-0.28)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3% (

0.22)

36.69% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

0.22)

73.48% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Serbia 54.15%

Sweden 21.99%

Draw 23.85%

Serbia	Draw	Sweden
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.15%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.99%