Serbia vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.