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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Serbia national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Slovenia national football team

Serbia
4 - 1
Slovenia

Mitrovic (24'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Jovic (85'), Radonjic (90+2')
Mitrovic (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stojanovic (30')
Zajc (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Slovenia vs. Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovenia

Last Six:
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Slovenia vs. Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Serbia 2-1 Slovenia

 A rare home defeat for Serbia last time out may bring about even greater intensity from a talented squad on Sunday, and their individual quality in several key areas should see off the challenge of Group 4 underdogs Slovenia. The visitors could be set for a challenging campaign in League B and may need to rely on accumulating points back in Ljubljana if they are to avoid relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawSlovenia
53.85% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.04% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 19.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)63.17% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.41% (0.019000000000002 0.02)82.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (0.016999999999999 0.02)83.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 53.85%
    Slovenia 19.11%
    Draw 27.04%
SerbiaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 53.85%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.11%

How you voted: Serbia vs Slovenia

Serbia
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Slovenia
7.5%
106
rhs 2.0
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