/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
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Joakim Maehle
15'
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Jesper Lindstrom
53'
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Christian Eriksen
57'
Denmark vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F12%2Fdenned.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
Result
Denmark
48.78%
Draw
23.61%
Serbia
27.61%
Both Teams to Score:
58.75%
Goals
Over 2.5
57.33%
Under 2.5
42.67%
Over 3.5
34.92%
Under 3.5
65.07%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5
82.35%
Under 0.5
17.65%
Over 1.5
51.74%
Under 1.5
48.26%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
71.34%
Under 0.5
28.65%
Over 1.5
35.53%
Under 1.5
64.47%
Score analysis
Denmark
48.78%
Draw
23.6%
Serbia
27.61%
Denmark
2-1
@
9.51%
1-0 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.78%
1-0 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.78%
Draw
1-1
@
10.96%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.6%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.6%
Serbia
1-2
@
6.85%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.61%
