UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Petrol

Slovenia
2 - 2
Serbia

Gnezda Cerin (48'), Sesko (53')
Sikosek (31'), Gnezda Cerin (47'), Kurtic (50'), Karnicnik (74'), Gorenc Stankovic (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zivkovic (8'), Mitrovic (35')
Grujic (57'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+5')
Rajkovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

Last Six:

Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Serbia

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Serbia
37.18% ( 0.01)	25.18% ( -0.01)	37.64% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.13% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.06)

46.47% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.05)

68.75% (

-0.05)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

0.03)

24.54% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

0.04)

59.02% (

-0.04)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.03)

24.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.04)

58.66% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 37.18%

Serbia 37.64%

Draw 25.18%

Slovenia	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.18%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.64%