International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 7pm UK

TBC

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Guinea

Sangare (30'), Doumbia (41'), Fofana (45+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Diakhaby (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Ivory Coast and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Guinea

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Guinea
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea
53.63% ( -0.01)	26.39% ( -0.01)	19.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.25% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.71% (

0.06)

60.29% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.54% (

0.04)

80.46% (

-0.05)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.02)

22.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.03)

56.33% (

-0.03)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.64% (

0.06)

45.36% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.78% (

0.05)

81.22% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 53.63%

Guinea 19.97%

Draw 26.38%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.97%