Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.