Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
1 - 0
Guinea

Mohamed (87')
Fathi (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (29'), Camara (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

Last Six:

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Guinea

Last Six:

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Guinea
58.39% ( -0.03)	25.67%	15.94% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 37.82% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.46% (

0.04)

62.54% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.87% (

0.03)

82.13% (

-0.03)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

21.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

0.01)

54.75% (

-0)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.26% (

0.06)

51.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.17% (

0.04)

85.83% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Egypt 58.38%

Guinea 15.94%

Draw 25.67%

Egypt	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 17.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.38%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.94%