World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Egypt
1 - 0
Senegal

(1-1 on aggregate)

Ciss (4' og.)
Hamdi (31'), Trezeguet (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendy (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

Last Six:

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Guinea
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Senegal

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 40%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Egypt win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Senegal
33.46%	26.53%	40%

Both teams to score 52.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23%

52.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6%

74.4%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.82%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1%

25.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11%

60.88%

Score Analysis

Egypt 33.46%

Senegal 40.01%

Draw 26.52%

Egypt	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.01%