Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.