Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 2, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adama Guira 28' yellowcard
  • Blati Toure 82' goal
  • yellowcard Bouna Sarr 50'
  • goal Abdou Diallo 70'
  • goal Idrissa Gueye 76'
  • goal Sadio Mane 87'
  • yellowcard Pape Abou Cisse 90'+3'

Burkina Faso vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.96%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result

Burkina Faso 22.02%
Draw 30.53%
Senegal 47.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.35%

Goals

Over 2.5 29.62%
Under 2.5 70.38%
Over 3.5 12.52%
Under 3.5 87.48%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 50.8%
Under 0.5 49.19%
Over 1.5 15.91%
Under 1.5 84.09%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 69.58%
Under 0.5 30.41%
Over 1.5 33.38%
Under 1.5 66.61%

Score analysis

Burkina Faso 22.02%
Draw 30.52%
Senegal 47.43%
Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 4.48%
2-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 22.02%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.96%
1-1 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 30.52%
Senegal
0-1 @ 17.8%
0-2 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-3 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 47.43%