Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Semi-Finals

Feb 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Burkina Faso
1 - 3
Senegal

Toure (82')
Guira (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.96%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Senegal
22.02%	30.53%	47.45%

Both teams to score 35.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.62%

70.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.52%

87.48%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.8%

49.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.91%

84.09%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58%

30.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38%

66.61%

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 22.02%

Senegal 47.43%

Draw 30.52%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 4.48% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.02%	0-0 @ 14.96% 1-1 @ 12.63% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.52%	0-1 @ 17.8% 0-2 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-3 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.43%