Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 61.57% | 24.29% | 14.13% |
| Both teams to score 37.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.18% | 60.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.14% | 80.85% |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% | 19.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% | 51.67% |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.68% | 53.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.15% | 86.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 17.05% 2-0 @ 13.86% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.72% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.25% Total : 61.56% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.33% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.13% |


