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Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stade de la Réunification
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Senegal
3 - 1
Eq Guinea

Diedhiou (28'), Kouyate (68'), Sarr (79')
Ciss (9'), Gueye (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buyla (57')
Pepin (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawEquatorial Guinea
58.09%25.21%16.71%
Both teams to score 40.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.86%60.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.66%80.34%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23%20.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59%53.41%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75%49.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87%84.13%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 58.08%
    Equatorial Guinea 16.71%
    Draw 25.19%
SenegalDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 16.07%
2-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 4.69%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.08%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 4.03%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.71%

How you voted: Senegal vs Eq Guinea

Senegal
84.9%
Draw
8.6%
Equatorial Guinea
6.5%
93
rhs 2.0


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