Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.21%).