Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal de Coléah

Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi

Keita (90+1')
Dansoko (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Idana (36'), Sanudi (40'), Thomu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

Last Six:

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Malawi

Last Six:

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Egypt vs. Malawi
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Malawi
52.29% ( -0.01)	22.75% ( 0)	24.97% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

40.94% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

63.33% (

-0)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27%

15.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.17% (

-0)

44.83% (

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

0.01)

29.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

0.01)

65.81% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Guinea 52.29%

Malawi 24.97%

Draw 22.74%

Guinea	Draw	Malawi
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.29%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.97%