MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 12:33:36| >> :600:460819:460819:
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Malawi national football team

Egypt
2 - 0
Malawi

Salah (20'), Marmoush (45+1')
Hamed (68'), Abdelmonem (77'), Hegazy (79'), Kahraba (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Davie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 Egypt
Friday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, March 15 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Egypt 2-0 Malawi

Even overlooking their home advantage, Egypt head into the weekend on a fine run of form, giving them an extra edge. Malawi must pull one out of the hat if they hope to cause an upset, but we see the hosts prevailing in what should be a thrilling affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawMalawi
67.71% (-0.562 -0.56) 21.61% (0.329 0.33) 10.68% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 35.27% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.593 -0.59)58.34% (0.592 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.467 -0.47)78.96% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.395 -0.39)16.56% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.714 -0.71)46.34% (0.713 0.71)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)57.72% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)89.44% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 67.7%
    Malawi 10.68%
    Draw 21.61%
EgyptDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 17.18% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 15.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 67.7%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.213 0.21)
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Egypt vs Malawi

Egypt
84.8%
Draw
4.3%
Malawi
10.9%
46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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