Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 20' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 45'+1' goal

Egypt vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 5.00pm
Ethiopia 2 - 0 Egypt

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 5.00pm
Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result

Egypt 67.71% (-0.57)
Draw 21.61% (+0.33)
Malawi 10.68% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.27% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.65% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 58.34% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 21.04% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 78.96% (+0.47)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 83.44% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 16.56% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 53.66% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 46.34% (+0.72)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 42.27% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 57.72% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 10.55% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 89.44% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Egypt 67.7%
Draw 21.61%
Malawi 10.68%
Egypt
1-0 @ 17.18% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 15.45% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.16% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 67.7%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.56% (+0.22)
1-1 @ 9.45% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.61%
Malawi
0-1 @ 5.25% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 2.6% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 10.68%