Malawi vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.