Friendlies 3

Feb 25, 2023 at 1pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Malawi
1 - 1
Lesotho

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Malawi and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Malawi
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Lesotho

Last Game: Eswatini 2-0 Lesotho
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Lesotho
58.63% ( 0.26)	25.03% ( 0.1)	16.34% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 39.99% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.95% (

-0.8)

60.04% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73% (

-0.61)

80.27% (

0.61)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-0.22)

20.51% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-0.34)

53.01% (

0.34)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.31% (

-0.96)

49.69% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.56% (

-0.68)

84.44% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Malawi 58.62%

Lesotho 16.34%

Draw 25.02%

Malawi	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.34%