Lesotho

2 - 1

Mauritius

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lesotho in this match.