Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.