Mauritius national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2022 at 1pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Mauritius
0 - 3
Eswatini


Sarah (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mkhonta (9' pen.), Mamba (76'), Ndzinisa (85')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mauritius and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-0 Seychelles
Saturday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.

Result
MauritiusDrawEswatini
15.77% (-0.235 -0.24)20.57% (-0.54 -0.54)63.65% (0.775 0.77)
Both teams to score 51.39% (1.234 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (1.919 1.92)44.05% (-1.918 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (1.842 1.84)66.43% (-1.842 -1.84)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (0.85899999999999 0.86)40.82% (-0.858 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.6% (0.757 0.76)77.39% (-0.759 -0.76)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.83699999999999 0.84)13.16% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.67 1.67)39.85% (-1.67 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 15.77%
    Eswatini 63.64%
    Draw 20.57%
MauritiusDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-1 @ 4.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.77%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.462 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.57%
0-2 @ 11.04% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.47% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.69% (0.222 0.22)
0-4 @ 3.79% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.39% (0.212 0.21)
2-3 @ 3% (0.167 0.17)
0-5 @ 1.54% (0.106 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.128 0.13)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 63.64%