Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.08%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.