COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Botswana national football team

Eswatini
1 - 1
Botswana

Ndzinisa (20')
Mkhonta (33'), Matse (59'), P. Figareido (69'), Gamedze (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kgamanyane (65')
Kgamanyane (45'), Mohutsiwa (89'), Orebonye (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's COSAFA Cup clash between Botswana and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawBotswana
50.71%25.82%23.47%
Both teams to score 47.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88%55.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63%76.37%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22%21.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03%54.97%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.21%38.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 50.71%
    Botswana 23.47%
    Draw 25.81%
EswatiniDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.47%

How you voted: Botswana vs Eswatini

Botswana
40.6%
Draw
28.1%
Eswatini
31.3%
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