Lesotho vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.