Morocco vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.