Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 25, 2022 at 7pm UK
Morocco2 - 1Malawi
We said: Morocco 2-0 Malawi
Morocco head into the knockout stages on the back of a fine group-stage run and will look to stamp their name as genuine title contenders. They boast the needed quality and experience at this stage of the competition and we are backing them to come away with the win in regular time on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result | ||
Morocco | Draw | Malawi |
63.51% | 21.75% | 14.74% |
Both teams to score 45.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% | 50.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% | 72.77% |
Morocco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% | 15.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.77% | 44.23% |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.61% | 46.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.98% | 82.02% |
Score Analysis |
Morocco 63.5%
Malawi 14.74%
Draw 21.74%
Morocco | Draw | Malawi |
1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.99% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.03% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.01% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.74% |
How you voted: Morocco vs Malawi
Morocco
81.4%Draw
7.1%Malawi
11.4%140
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-26 23:34:10
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Cirstea
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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