Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 25, 2022 at 7pm UK

Morocco
2 - 1
Malawi

En-Nesyri (45+2'), Hakimi (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mhango (7')
Madinga (33'), Sanudi (60'), Mhango (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Malawi
63.51%	21.75%	14.74%

Both teams to score 45.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.11%

50.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.23%

72.77%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59%

15.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77%

44.23%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.61%

46.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.98%

82.02%

Score Analysis

Morocco 63.5%

Malawi 14.74%

Draw 21.74%

Morocco	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.99% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.03% Total : 63.5%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.74%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.01% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.74%

How you voted: Morocco vs Malawi

Morocco

81.4%

Draw

7.1%

Malawi

11.4%