Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Gabon
2 - 2
Morocco

Allevinah (21'), Aguerd (81' og.)
Obiang (36'), Boupendza (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boufal (74' pen.), Hakimi (84')
Amrabat (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gabon and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Morocco
31.74%	27.67%	40.59%

Both teams to score 48.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45%

57.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67%

78.34%

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64%

33.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.98%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61%

63.4%

Score Analysis

Gabon 31.74%

Morocco 40.59%

Draw 27.67%

Gabon	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.74%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.59%

How you voted: Gabon vs Morocco

Gabon

12.9%

Draw

23.5%

Morocco

63.5%