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Gabon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 12, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
Libya national football team

Gabon
1 - 0
Libya

Aubameyang (54' pen.)
Lemina (58'), Ecuele Manga (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zubya (30'), Touhami (30'), Makkari (38'), Masoud (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gabon and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Libya had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
GabonDrawLibya
38.93%24.17%36.89%
Both teams to score 60.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87%64.12%
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44%54.56%
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88%56.12%
Score Analysis
    Gabon 38.94%
    Libya 36.89%
    Draw 24.16%
GabonDrawLibya
2-1 @ 8.53%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.89%

How you voted: Gabon vs Libya

Gabon
50.0%
Draw
18.8%
Libya
31.3%
48
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Libya
2-1
Gabon
Ramdan Salama (28'), Al-Warfali (89')
Saleh Al Badri (58')
Poko (11')
Aubameyang (63'), Bouanga (70')
Jan 26, 2014 3pm
Quarter-Finals
Gabon
1-1
Libya
Libya win 4-2 on penalties
Cousin (73')
Cousin (93')
Omar (50')
Chtiba (58'), Fetori (73')
rhs 2.0
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