World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 12, 2021 at 4pm UK

Gabon
1 - 0
Libya

Aubameyang (54' pen.)
Lemina (58'), Ecuele Manga (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zubya (30'), Touhami (30'), Makkari (38'), Masoud (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gabon and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Libya had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Libya
38.93%	24.17%	36.89%

Both teams to score 60.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28%

41.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.87%

64.12%

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44%

54.56%

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46%

22.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88%

56.12%

Score Analysis

Gabon 38.94%

Libya 36.89%

Draw 24.16%

Gabon	Draw	Libya
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.89%

How you voted: Gabon vs Libya

Gabon

50.0%

Draw

18.8%

Libya

31.3%