Mauritius national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2022 at 4pm UK
Princess Magogo Stadium
Malawi national football team

Mauritius
0 - 2
Malawi


Gordy Hansley Prosper (51'), Patate (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanudi (52'), Mhone (88')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mauritius and Malawi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Mauritius
Friday, July 8 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Malawi

Last Six:
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, July 8 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MauritiusDrawMalawi
47.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)23.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.33% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.98% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.061 0.06)38.98% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.063000000000002 0.06)61.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)16.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (0.025999999999996 0.03)46.57% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.048000000000002 0.05)25.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.068000000000005 0.07)60.47% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 47.59%
    Malawi 29.33%
    Draw 23.06%
MauritiusDrawMalawi
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 29.33%