Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.