South Korea national football team
International Friendly
Jun 14, 2022 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Egypt national football team

South Korea
4 - 1
Egypt

Ui-jo (16'), Young-gwon (21'), Kyu-Sung (85'), Chang-hoon (90+1')
Kim (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mohamed (37')
Mohamed (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between South Korea and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Egypt

Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawEgypt
45.95% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.47% (0.004999999999999 0)26.58% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)58.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)60.5% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (0.034999999999997 0.03)38.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.032999999999998 0.03)74.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 45.95%
    Egypt 26.58%
    Draw 27.46%
South KoreaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: South Korea vs Egypt

South Korea
72.4%
Draw
5.2%
Egypt
22.4%
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