MX23RW : Thursday, April 18 14:28:24| >> :600:2403639:2403639:
Ethiopia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Egypt national football team

Ethiopia
2 - 0
Egypt

Hotessa (21'), Bekele (39')
Panomo (24'), Debebe (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mostafa Lasheen (56'), Kamal (75'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt

While Ethiopia will be looking to snap their winless run and get their qualification campaign up and running, next up is the challenge of facing a rampant Egypt side who have won seven of their last eight games. Given the gulf in class and quality between the sides, we are tipping Egypt to cruise to all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
19.63% (0.0039999999999978 0) 27.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 52.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 38.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02% (0.016000000000002 0.02)83.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)83.7% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.012 0.01)25.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 19.63%
    Egypt 52.47%
    Draw 27.88%
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.2%
3-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.63%
0-0 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 12.19%
2-2 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 16.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 52.47%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Egypt

Ethiopia
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Egypt
80.0%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!