Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Ethiopia
2 - 0
Egypt

Hotessa (21'), Bekele (39')
Panomo (24'), Debebe (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mostafa Lasheen (56'), Kamal (75'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

Last Six:

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Egypt

Last Six:

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Egypt
19.63% ( 0)	27.89% ( -0)	52.48% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.35% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.87% (

0.02)

65.13% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.02% (

0.02)

83.98% (

-0.01)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.36% (

0.02)

48.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.3% (

0.01)

83.7% (

-0.01)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

0.01)

25.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.02)

60.12% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 19.63%

Egypt 52.47%

Draw 27.88%

Ethiopia	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.2% 3-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.63%	0-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 12.19% 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 16.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.61% 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 52.47%