Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Guinea2 - 0Ethiopia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yohannes (18'), Hamid (25'), Panomo (45')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Guinea and Ethiopia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Ethiopia |
61.76% ( 1.3) | 23.98% ( -0.42) | 14.27% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 38.51% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
