African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK

Addis Ababa Stadium

Ethiopia
0 - 0
Mozambique

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Ethiopia and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Mozambique

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Mozambique
51.18% ( -0.58)	28.84% ( -0.21)	19.97% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 36.72% (

1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.54% (

1.14)

67.46% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.42% (

0.75)

85.57% (

-0.75)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

0.27)

27.05% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

0.36)

62.41% (

-0.36)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.34% (

1.61)

49.66% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.58% (

1.1)

84.42% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 51.18%

Mozambique 19.97%

Draw 28.84%

Ethiopia	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 17.56% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.58% Total : 51.18%	0-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.57) 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.3% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.97%