African Nations Championship
Jan 14, 2023 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Addis Ababa Stadium

Ethiopia vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

Mozambique

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Ethiopia 51.18% (-0.58)
Draw 28.84% (-0.21)
Mozambique 19.97% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.72% (+1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.54% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 67.46% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 14.42% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 85.57% (-0.76)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 72.95% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 27.05% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 37.58% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 62.41% (-0.36)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 50.34% (+1.62)
Under 0.5 49.66% (-1.62)
Over 1.5 15.58% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 84.42% (-1.11)

Score analysis

Ethiopia 51.18%
Draw 28.84%
Mozambique 19.97%
Ethiopia
1-0 @ 17.56% (-0.62)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 8.04% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.5% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 51.18%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.43% (-0.58)
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 2.81% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 28.84%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 9.4% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.3% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 3.29% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1% (-89.30)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.97%