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Mozambique national football team
COSAFA Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Senegal national football team

Mozambique
1 - 1
Senegal

King (90+3')
Foia (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diouf (78' pen.)
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Senegal win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Third-Place Playoff clash between Mozambique and Senegal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Namibia 1-0 Mozambique
Friday, July 15 at 3pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 4-3 Senegal
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
33.57%26.37%40.06%
Both teams to score 52.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.81%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65%29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67%65.32%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.42%
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 33.57%
    Senegal 40.06%
    Draw 26.37%
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.06%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2021 2pm
Senegal
1-0
Mozambique
P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
rhs 2.0
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