Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Rwanda
0 - 1
Senegal

Ange (30'), Kwizera (66'), Muhire (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mane (90+8' pen.)
Mendy (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Benin vs. Rwanda
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Senegal

Last Six:

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Senegal
18.32% ( -0)	24.08% ( 0)	57.6%

Both teams to score 45.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.02)

54.18% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.02)

75.59% (

0.02)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.31% (

-0.02)

43.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.13% (

-0.02)

79.86% (

0.01)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.01)

18.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.04% (

-0.01)

49.96% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 18.32%

Senegal 57.58%

Draw 24.07%

Rwanda	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.32%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.58%