Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 7, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mutsinzi Ange 30' yellowcard
  • Olivier Kwizera 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Muhire 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 27'
  • goal Sadio Mane 90'+8'

Rwanda vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 2, 2022 5.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Rwanda

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 4, 2022 8.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result

Rwanda 18.32% (-0.01)
Draw 24.08% (+0.01)
Senegal 57.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.82% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.82% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.59% (+0.02)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 56.31% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.68% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.86% (+0.02)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 81.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.64% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rwanda 18.32%
Draw 24.07%
Senegal 57.58%
Rwanda
1-0 @ 6.75% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.07%
Senegal
0-1 @ 13.67%
0-2 @ 11.48%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 57.58%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 6, 2022 12.00am
International Friendlies
Jan 2, 2022 12.00am