Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.