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Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
FNB Stadium
Rwanda national football team

Mozambique
1 - 1
Rwanda

Ratifo (67')
Catamo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nishimwe (65')
Omborenga (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Benin 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Senegal vs. Mozambique
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Rwanda

Last Six:
Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, June 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Benin vs. Rwanda
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawRwanda
49.49% (-0.012 -0.01)25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)25.07% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (0.012 0.01)52.38% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.06% (-0.011999999999986 -0.01)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.82% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 49.48%
    Rwanda 25.07%
    Draw 25.44%
MozambiqueDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Rwanda

Mozambique
43.5%
Draw
39.1%
Rwanda
17.4%
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