Senegal vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.41%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.