Senegal national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor
Congo DR national football team

Senegal
3 - 0
Congo DR

Diouf (23'), Diallo (74'), Saidi (77' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Senegal and Congo DR.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Uganda
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Congo DR

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Congo DR 0-0 Ivory Coast
Wednesday, January 18 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawCongo DR
60.51% (-0.89 -0.89)24.41% (0.452 0.45)15.07% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 39.11% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (-0.818 -0.82)59.8% (0.817 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (-0.631 -0.63)80.08% (0.63000000000001 0.63)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)19.69% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.068 -1.07)51.68% (1.067 1.07)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (0.143 0.14)51.3% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (0.095000000000001 0.1)85.54% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 60.5%
    Congo DR 15.07%
    Draw 24.4%
SenegalDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 16.41% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 13.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 15.07%

How you voted: Senegal vs Congo DR

Senegal
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Congo DR
0.0%
5