Congo DR national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
Sierra Leone national football team

Congo DR
3 - 0
Sierra Leone

Malango (70'), Kayembe (73'), Meschack (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Congo DR and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 0-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Sierra Leone

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Sierra Leone
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DRDrawSierra Leone
45.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)29.25% (0.012999999999998 0.01)25.27% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.64% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.76% (-0.067 -0.07)65.24% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)84.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.13% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)42.87% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.82% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)79.18% (0.077000000000012 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 45.48%
    Sierra Leone 25.26%
    Draw 29.25%
Congo DRDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 15.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 12.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.25%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.26%