South Africa vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.