South Africa
2 - 1
Botswana

Van Wyk (34'), Rasebotja (80')
Mzimela (64'), Shezi (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kesekile (90+3')
Kolagano (32')
Lekoba (79')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Fifth-Place Playoff clash between South Africa and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Eswatini
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Botswana
43.08%	26.78%	30.13%

Both teams to score 50.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29%

54.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97%

76.03%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83%

25.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11%

59.89%

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96%

33.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37%

69.62%

Score Analysis

South Africa 43.08%

Botswana 30.13%

Draw 26.78%

South Africa	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.08%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.13%