Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.