Velaphi (39'), Cooper (65')
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
|44.48% ( -0.02)||25.07% ( 0.01)||30.45% ( 0.01)|
|Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.03)|
|Over 2.5||Under 2.5|