Angola national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 5, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Comoros national football team

Angola
3 - 1
Comoros

Megue (39'), Lepua (49' pen.), Juliao (74')
Balanga (45'), Balbudia (53'), Bito (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ali (76')
El Haddad (90+1')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Angola and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

Last Six:
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Comoros

Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
AngolaDrawComoros
42.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.37% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)33.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Angola 42.56%
    Comoros 30.18%
    Draw 27.25%
AngolaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.18%