Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Municipal de Mahamasina

Madagascar
1 - 1
Angola

Rakotoharimalala (36')
Lapoussin (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gelson (43')
Cafumana (37'), N'Zola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Madagascar and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Madagascar vs. CAR
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Angola

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Angola had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Angola
51.24%	27.31% ( 0.02)	21.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.79% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.11% (

-0.07)

61.89% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

-0.05)

81.65% (

0.05)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

-0.03)

24.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

-0.04)

58.87% (

0.04)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3% (

-0.05)

44.69% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

-0.05)

80.69% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 51.24%

Angola 21.45%

Draw 27.3%

Madagascar	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.45%