Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
  • Njiva Rakotoharimalala 36' goal
  • Loic Lapoussin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Cafumana 37'
  • goal Gelson 43'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 90'+3'

Madagascar vs Angola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 1, 2022 8.00pm
Ghana 3 - 0 Madagascar

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 1, 2022 5.00pm
Angola 2 - 1 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Angola had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Madagascar 51.24%
Draw 27.31% (+0.02)
Angola 21.45% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.79% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.11% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 61.89% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 18.34% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.65% (+0.06)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 75.56% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.12% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.87% (+0.05)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 55.3% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 44.69% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 19.31% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 80.69% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Madagascar 51.24%
Draw 27.3%
Angola 21.45%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 15.39% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 51.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 10.92% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.3%
Angola
0-1 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 21.45%