Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Morocco
2 - 1
South Africa

En-Nesyri (51'), El Kaabi (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Foster (8')
Foster (24'), Sithole (44'), Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

Last Six:

Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Liberia vs. Morocco
Monday, June 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

South Africa

Last Six:

Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Africa vs. Liberia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
Morocco	Draw	South Africa
64.77% ( 0.28)	22.01% ( -0.01)	13.21% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 40.96% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27% (

-0.5)

54.72% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95% (

-0.42)

76.04% (

0.41)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

-0.08)

16.29% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14% (

-0.14)

45.86% (

0.14)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.94% (

-0.75)

51.06% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.62% (

-0.51)

85.38% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Morocco 64.77%

South Africa 13.21%

Draw 22.01%

Morocco	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 64.77%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 13.21%