Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 9, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 51' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 87' goal
  • goal Lyle Foster 8'
  • yellowcard Lyle Foster 24'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 44'
  • yellowcard Ronwen Williams 81'

Morocco vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

South Africa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result

Morocco 64.77% (+0.29)
Draw 22.01% (-0.01)
South Africa 13.21% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.96% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.27% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 54.72% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 23.95% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 76.04% (+0.41)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 83.7% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 16.29% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 54.14% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 45.86% (+0.14)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 48.94% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 51.06% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 14.62% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 85.38% (+0.51)

Score analysis

Morocco 64.77%
Draw 22.01%
South Africa 13.21%
Morocco
1-0 @ 15.09% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 13.69% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.28% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.76% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 64.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.32% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.01%
South Africa
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.41% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 13.21%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 1, 2019 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Al Salam Stadium, Cairo
  • Themba Zwane 18' yellowcard
  • Bongani Zungu 31' yellowcard
  • goal Moubarak Boussoufa 90'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 27, 2013 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Issam El Adoua 0' goal
  • Abdelilah Elhafidi 0' goal
  • goal May Mahlangu 0'
  • goal Siyabonga Sangweni 0'