Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.