International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 8.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Kylian Mbappe 23' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 34' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 67' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 76' goal
  • Wissam Ben Yedder 82' goal
  • Matteo Guendouzi 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Thabang Monare 66'
  • yellowcard Siyanda Xulu 74'
  • redcard Khuliso Mudau 84'

France vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2022 8.15pm
France 2 - 1 Ivory Coast

South Africa

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2022 5.00pm
South Africa 0 - 0 Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.8%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result

France 66.26%
Draw 24.13%
South Africa 9.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

27.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 32.52%
Under 2.5 67.48%
Over 3.5 14.41%
Under 3.5 85.58%

France Goals

Over 0.5 79.43%
Under 0.5 20.57%
Over 1.5 46.9%
Under 1.5 53.09%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 34.66%
Under 0.5 65.33%
Over 1.5 6.85%
Under 1.5 93.14%

Score analysis

France 66.25%
Draw 24.12%
South Africa 9.61%
France
1-0 @ 21.25%
2-0 @ 16.8%
3-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 3.77%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 66.25%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.43%
1-1 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
South Africa
0-1 @ 5.72%
1-2 @ 1.93%
0-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 9.61%

Head to Head

World Cup
Jun 22, 2010 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Free State Stadium
  • Florent Malouda 70' goal
  • goal Bongani Khumalo 20'
  • goal Katlego Mphela 37'