Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Morocco
43.12% ( -0.17)	29.67% ( 0.02)	27.2% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 40.85% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.38% (

-0.01)

65.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.68% (

-0.01)

84.32% (

0.01)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.1)

30.34% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.12)

66.52% (

0.12)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64% (

0.12)

41.36% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.12% (

0.1)

77.88% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

USA 43.12%

Morocco 27.2%

Draw 29.66%

USA	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 43.12%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.54% 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.2%