Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for USA had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest USA win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
USA	Draw	Uruguay
35.54% ( -0.05)	25.32% ( 0.01)	39.15% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78% (

-0.05)

47.23% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55% (

-0.05)

69.46% (

0.05)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

-0.05)

25.81% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23% (

-0.07)

60.77% (

0.08)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-0)

58.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

USA 35.54%

Uruguay 39.15%

Draw 25.31%

USA	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.54%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 39.15%