Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 13, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Mark Pabai 3' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sanoh 55' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Oscar Dorley 83' yellowcard
  • Justin Salmon 84' yellowcard
  • goal Faycal Fajr 56'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 58'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 78'

Liberia vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 2.00pm
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 Liberia

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 8.00pm
Morocco 2 - 1 South Africa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result

Liberia 23.76% (-0.17)
Draw 25.77% (-0.01)
Morocco 50.47% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.33% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.31% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 54.69% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.99% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.01% (+0.09)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 61.73% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 38.27% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 24.97% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 75.03% (+0.21)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 78.29% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.71% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.86% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Liberia 23.76%
Draw 25.76%
Morocco 50.47%
Liberia
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.76%
Morocco
0-1 @ 12.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 9.69% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.94% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.47%