Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.