World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Morocco
4 - 1
Congo DR

(Morocco win 5-2 on aggregate)

Ounahi (21', 54'), Tissoudali (45+7'), Hakimi (69')
Amrabat (25'), Boufal (90+3'), Amallah (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Malango (77')
Amale (58'), Kayembe (75'), Tisserand (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 3-0 Morocco
Thursday, June 2 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Morocco vs. South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Congo DR

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Congo DR
59.53%	22.61%	17.86%

Both teams to score 49.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88%

49.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81%

71.2%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87%

16.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.44%

45.56%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.74%

41.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21%

77.79%

Score Analysis

Morocco 59.52%

Congo DR 17.86%

Draw 22.6%

Morocco	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.52%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.86%